Trump’s factory claims clash with construction trends

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President Trump has repeatedly claimed that car factories are being built across the United States, suggesting a manufacturing revival tied to his policies. But automakers are not pouring concrete for new plants. They are upgrading existing ones instead.

Retooling over rebuilding

Major automakers are choosing to retool idle or aging plants rather than fund new construction. Nissan is expanding Rogue SUV production at its Tennessee and Mississippi facilities to reduce reliance on Japanese imports, now subject to a 15 percent tariff under U.S. trade policy changes.

General Motors is also reworking a site near Detroit. These moves reflect a broader industry shift. Rather than invest in entirely new sites, companies are focusing on cost-efficient adjustments that help them manage supply chain risks and meet local sourcing rules.

Data from AlixPartners shows automaker investment averaged $21 billion a year during Trump’s first term. That rose to $38 billion under Biden due to EV spending but is now slowing again.

As demand for electric vehicles cools, manufacturers are pulling back on EV expansion plans. The removal of tax credits and consumer hesitation are two main reasons. Companies are redirecting capital to gasoline-powered models and keeping production closer to their existing networks.

Construction industry feels the shift

This cautious strategy affects construction firms, especially those in heavy industrial markets. Large auto plant projects typically bring multi-year contracts for excavation, structural work, utilities, and complex system installations.

Federal Reserve data shows recent manufacturing construction growth is tied more to battery and chip facilities than car factories. Contractors that had positioned themselves for automotive builds are now chasing smaller, lower-margin work.

The difference is significant. New plants bring high-value civil and mechanical jobs. Upgrades, while still important, are more modest in scope.

Tariff pressure and policy uncertainty

Trump’s tariff policies are not just shaping auto company behavior. They are also changing the economics of construction.

Imported construction inputs like steel and machinery now cost more. That makes large new projects harder to justify. Without consistent federal support or strong market signals, developers have little reason to launch major plant builds.

Canada’s auto sector has rejected Trump’s claims of factory flight. According to David Adams of Global Automakers of Canada, there is no major shift southward. He acknowledged that tariffs complicate long-term strategy, but said no evidence supports a relocation trend.

Smaller projects take the lead

Some construction remains active. Hyundai’s Metaplant in Georgia is one of the few examples of a new multi-billion-dollar facility, but most related growth in the area has come from parts suppliers and logistics hubs. These are smaller and faster to build.

Upgrades to existing plants are now the norm. These projects still require mechanical, electrical, and process engineering contractors, but are far less complex than greenfield factories.

For construction firms, this means adapting to a market that favors renovation over new builds. The big contracts may be fewer, but smaller projects offer a steady stream of work.

Contractors that specialize in retrofitting, robotics installation, HVAC redesign, and production line changes are staying busy. Others, particularly those reliant on new foundation or structural projects, are waiting for a stronger investment wave.

While the campaign rhetoric points to new factories, what is really happening is more measured. The reshaping of U.S. auto production is real, but it is unfolding within the walls of buildings that already exist.

Sources:

Motor Illustrated